I found this interesting article.
Here is a reality check on what your actual chances are of getting that scholarship to play Division 1 basketball.
Here’s the math:
◦There are currently 351 Division 1 teams that each offer 13 scholarships a year.
◦On average, that means there are 1141 available new scholarships each year.
◦However, 30% of Junior College/Prep School players take those scholarships (342 total) that leaves us with 800.
◦Additionally, 10% of all scholarships go to overseas players which means we need to take off another 114.
◦That leaves us with 686 players that Division 1 schools can sign directly out of High School in the US.
◦Now let’s do some sums. There are 38,400 public and private High Schools in the US that offer a basketball program.
◦On average, there are 4 seniors that play for each varsity team.
◦This means there are 154,600 High School Seniors, give or take, trying to get 686 scholarships.
◦The math on that? 0.4%. Yes, as an American High School Senior you have a 0.4% chance of getting an NCAA Division 1 scholarship.
◦It gets worse though. Half of these scholarships will go to players 6’5″ or taller. So if you’re under 6’5″, reduce your chances to about 0.2%.
However, all is not lost. Division 2 program offers 765 scholarships per year, and NAIA schools offers a thousand plus, half or full, scholarships. So in total this increases your odds to around a 1% chance of getting a scholarship to college if you’re a HS senior.