Going into the Exam break in Calgary the the top two teams are Centennial and Western. Churchill is 3rd and will probably finish there come the City finals. By virture of Scarlett's win over St Mary's and the rest of their schdule is very easy, Scarlett will finish 2nd to Centennial in the South Divison and the way the playoffs work will finish no worse than 4th in the City and secure at least the last spot for provinicals. St Mary's would probably have to get by Churchill to move on.
In the deep south I believe Raymond and Catholic Central will advance. Cardston just does not seem to have enough talent this year to compete with the best. Based on the Cardston tournament results, it looks like no teams in the south will be a threat in the Provincials, as Centennial went down there and crushed everyone, beating Raymond in the finals by at least 35 points.